Valiovihje is a Finnish tipping service founded at 2016. We produce profitable and professional sports betting recommendations for our clients. The service is provided by brothers Jani & Jesse Heikkinen, who have been analysing English football for over a decade. The focus has always been in the English Premier League, where the high-stake punters can also follow our recommendations.
Over the past four years, we have publicly written over 1400 betting recommendations to English Premier League with a yield of 5.55%. These public tips have been written using only high-limit Pinnacle and SBObet markets.
Unlike many other services, our focus is set sharply to just one football league. This makes it possible to analyse every match in-detail and collect sophisticated player-by-player statistics.
Our strengths as sports betting analysts are not only in data mining, but we also have deep knowledge of each player and manager in the league. We have built this knowledge by following English Premier League for the past ten years. Each year we start following the teams already in the pre-season and never miss a match.
Track record (Pinnacle: 1333 bets, SBObet 75 bets)
Tipping service period, since 1/2016
Number of bets: 577
Units placed: 3050 units
Units won: 3225.49 units
Profit: 175.49 units
Public tips at Ylikerroin.com* 2014-2017
Number of bets: 831
Units placed: 5068 units
Units won: 5343.14 units
Profit: 275.14 units
* Ylikerroin.com/forum is the biggest betting discussion forum in Finland. There is a track record tool, where all these bets have been registered.
A betting recommendation example
Match preview example: Tottenham vs Bournemouth
The Premier League gameweek 33 kicks off at London, where Bournemouth travels to White Hart Lane for the last time. This is the third last match ever at The Lane, which has been the home stadium of the Lilywhites for 118 years.
This is the final season Spurs are playing at White Hart Lane and they have surely given their fans some fantastic moments. Tottenham is in fact the only team in the Premier League with an unbeaten home record. Spurs have played 20 matches at The Lane in all competitions with an astonishing record of 18 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. The goal difference is 56 goals for and 11 against (2.80 for, 0.55 against per match).
Chelsea are on their way to win the Premier League title. The arch-rivals of Spurs are very likely champions, but the title is not decided yet, and Tottenham is the only team capable of stopping Chelsea. Spurs are currently trailing seven points with seven rounds to go. Chelsea meet old rivals Manchester United at Sunday and Spurs could put some extra pressure on Antonio Conte’s men by winning their match at Saturday.
Visiting Bournemouth is not your typical lower-midtable team. Cherries have for example the most touches on ball in the attacking third after top six teams. Their manager Eddie Howe is eager to keep the active playing style of his team regardless of the opponent. It’s no surprise Bournemouth have problems to play their own game when travelling to meet top-half teams. Cherries are in fact one of the worst travellers in the league winning just two of the 16 away matches (against Swansea and Stoke). At home the difference between expected goals scored and conceded is about zero, but the same number is almost one full goal minus at away matches. The difference between home and away performances is third biggest in the league. Bournemouth have played against Premier League top six teams 11 times this season and the expected goals have been in favour of the top clubs 2.14 vs 0.92.
High-flying Spurs have a fantastic seven-match winning run behind them, while the visitors have needed almost six months to win the same number of matches. The current form of these teams couldn’t be more different: if we only counted the matches played at 2017, Spurs would be crowned as Champions and Bournemouth would be relegated.
Tottenham is also boosted by some important team news: key striker Harry Kane played his first 30 minutes after an injury last round. Manager Mauricio Pochettino has also confirmed midfielder Victor Wanyama is fit to play against Bournemouth. The return of Wanyama is important, since it makes it possible for Spurs to use their optimal 3-4-2-1 formation. When the Kenyan midfielder has been out Erik Dier has covered him, and Spurs have run out of quality centre-backs to play with a 3-man defence line. The only injured starter is left-back Danny Rose, who hurt his knee badly against Sunderland earlier this year. Rotation players Erik Lamela and Harry Winks are also unavailable.
Visitors Bournemouth are missing forward Callum Wilson and midfielder Andrew Surman. Defensive midfielder Dan Gosling is also a doubt. The trio is suffering from various types of knee problems. Winger Junior Stanislas has been plagued by injuries during the winter and the spring time and he is also uncertain to participate.
Info bite: Spurs produced 213 shots outside the penalty box in the first 25 gameweeks resulting to one goal. During the past seven rounds, Spurs have shot 46 times outside the box scoring six goals.
Betting recommendation: the quality difference, current form, line-up information, motivation factors and the unusual home advantage support a high-scoring win for Spurs here. There is nice value in Tottenham handicaps!